Sifuna’s Linda Mwananchi Movement Beats DCP, ODM and UDA in Nairobi Poll

The Linda Mwananchi Movement is Nairobi’s most popular political outfit, capturing 26 percent support in the capital. Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) released the findings on Thursday, November 12, highlighting major shifts in Kenya’s political landscape ahead of the 2027 General Election. Closely associated with Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, the movement holds a commanding lead in the city over the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP), which sits at 11 percent. The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) trails in third place with nine percent, while President William Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance (UDA) follows closely at eight percent. Wiper and Jubilee tie at seven percent each. Despite these numbers, the largest bloc in Nairobi remains unaligned, with 31 percent of respondents in the capital saying they do not identify with any political party. UDA Reclaims National Lead as ODM Support Drops While Linda Mwananchi dominates Nairobi, UDA has regained its position as Kenya’s most popular political party nationwide. National backing for the ruling party climbed from 17 percent in June to 25 percent in November. Linda Mwananchi secured second place nationally at 17 percent, overtaking ODM. Support for ODM has fallen by half over the past five months, dropping from 20 percent in June to just 10 percent. Further down the national rankings, DCP holds nine percent, Wiper commands five percent, and Jubilee stands at four percent. Regional Strongholds Shape the Political Map Political loyalties vary sharply across Kenya’s regions, with each major outfit drawing strength from distinct geographic bases: Linda Mwananchi Movement: Draws its strongest backing in Western Kenya at 40 percent, followed by Nairobi (26 percent), Nyanza (18 percent), and the Coast (16 percent). United Democratic Alliance (UDA): Commands massive leads in Northern Kenya at 60 percent and the Central Rift at 56 percent. Orange Democratic Movement (ODM): Retains its stronghold in Nyanza, where it leads with 33 percent support. Senator Edwin Sifuna’s rising profile also translates directly into the 2027 presidential race. In Nairobi, Sifuna tops presidential preferences with 39 percent support. President Ruto ranks a distant second in the capital at 13 percent, edging out Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka at 11 percent and former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i at 10 percent. Kenyans Push Back Against UDA-ODM Power-Sharing The poll also tracked public sentiment toward the broad-based government arrangement between UDA and ODM. Nationally, 43 percent of Kenyans oppose the power-sharing deal, compared to 32 percent who support it. Skepticism runs even deeper in Nairobi, where opposition to the pact surges to 57 percent, leaving only 13 percent in favor. TIFA conducted the nationally representative survey between October 26 and November 5, 2026. Researchers carried out face-to-face interviews with 2,036 adults across all 47 counties. The post Sifuna’s Linda Mwananchi Movement Beats DCP, ODM and UDA in Nairobi Poll appeared first on Nairobi Wire .

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